88X ROI

We've been watching some talks from the recent TED conference.  For those who may be unfamiliar with this program, it is an annual colloquium of the brightest and most imaginative thinkers, thought leaders, and overachievers from the worlds of Technology, Entertainment, and Design, discussing "Ideas worth spreading".

Juan Enriquez, Managing Director with Excel Medical Ventures and the CEO and Chairman of Biotechonomy, gave a fascinating presentation examining the economic meltdown, specifying strategies for recovery, and concluding with a look at some emerging innovations in life science technology presaging the emergence of "homo evolutis"; a humankind that takes an active role in its own evolution.

In the course of his talk, about seven minutes in, he made a remarkable observation about the impact of venture investment in the economy.  He said that investment in startups represented about .02% of GDP, whereas venture-backed companies produced 17% of GDP.  He mentioned it in passing as he transitioned from a laundry list of necessary cuts to public expenditure to areas where spending must be increased, but it certainly caught our attention.

Then we saw a similar observation in the Economist special report on entrepreneurship we discussed last week, and we tracked down the source.  As it happens, it comes from VentureImpact, a research paper commissioned by the National Venture Capital Association, and prepared by Global Insight with data provided by Content First.  The actual proportion of GDP invested in early stage companies in 2006 was .2%, and the output was 17.6%, which translates to a staggering 88x return on investment.

The study also documents

 that these companies

 produced more than

 10 million jobs, and over 2 trillion dollars in revenue that year, and the trend over the previous 6 years was consistently increasing.  Venture-backed firms also significantly outperformed the economy as a whole, producing more than three times the compound annual growth of jobs (3.6% vs. 1.4%) and nearly twice the growth in revenues (11.8% vs. 6.5%).

We've been on the lookout for solid evidence of our central thesis -- that the most effective strategy for economic development is innovation and entrepreneurship -- and this research certainly provides meaningful support for it.  The study was published in 2007, and analyzed more than 23,000 venture-backed companies.  An update to the study is in process, and is expected this June.  We look forward to it with eager anticipation.